Iceland · ISL · snapshot 2026-08-16

Iceland

Measured

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  1. Currency movement

    Not measured

    The European Central Bank publishes no euro reference rate for this currency, so there is no twelve-month entry window to state. That is a fact about the series, not about the market.

  2. Foreign-buyer rules

    Not measured

    No rule for this market has been read from an authority and cited yet. Absence here means nobody has checked, not that the market is open.

  3. Cost of money

    7.75%

    Period
    2026-07
    Geography
    National
    Asset class
    Applies to any asset, indirectly
    Source
    Bank for International Settlements, central bank policy rates
    We may
    Publishable here; not licensed for paid deliverables

    The price of money to banks in this jurisdiction, which sets the floor everything else is priced from.

    What it does not show. It is emphatically not a mortgage quote. What a non-resident is offered is a different number, usually much higher, and the gap between them is where a market's financing story actually lives.

  4. Supply against absorption

    Not measured

    No statistics agency for this market has been read and cleared for republication.

  5. Residential price cycle

    171.7 against a 2015 base of 100

    Period
    2026-04-01
    Geography
    National
    Asset class
    Housing only
    Source
    OECD Analytical house prices indicators, real house prices
    We may
    Publishable here with attribution; not cleared for paid deliverables

    House prices have risen faster than consumer prices since 2015 — the market is above its own inflation-adjusted level of that year.

    What it does not show. It is a position, not a direction, and it is not a valuation. Deflating by consumer prices says nothing about what the asset yields or what credit costs, and a market can sit above its 2015 level for years without that meaning anything is due.

  6. Valuation against its own history

    Not measured

    The OECD house-price dataset does not carry this territory, so there is no ratio to state. The dataset covers its members and a set of partner economies, and most of the world is in neither.

  7. On the market now

    Not measured

    No listings platform has been read for this market. The one platform this site can read covers Russian cities only, and inventing a count for anywhere else would be worse than an empty row.

No dossier has been written for this market yet. What follows is the measured layers and the rules, each with its source — not an argument about whether to be here. A market reaches this page as soon as two layers can be cited, because an unwritten thesis is a reason to publish less, not a reason to publish nothing.

The series behind those figures, and the workings

Cost of money

7.75%

Central bank policy rate, 2026-07. Source: Bank for International Settlements.

This is the price of money to banks, not the price of money to a non-resident buying a building. The gap between those two is where a market’s financing story actually lives, and it is not in this number. A mortgage quote for a foreign buyer depends on the lender, the asset and the borrower, and no public dataset carries it.

BIS terms permit this figure on a free page and state that nothing in their statistics constitutes investment advice. They also allow inclusion in a commercial product only where it adds no charge, so this series is published here and is not priced into any paid work.

Background

Annual national statistics from the World Bank, under a licence that permits reuse with attribution. They describe the country; they do not time an entry, and they are not counted as measurements of this market — otherwise every territory on earth would claim to be measured on the strength of one dataset.

IndicatorValueYear
GDP per capita98,323 US$2025
Consumer price inflation4.1 %2025
Population392,4042025
Urban population94.2 % of total2025
Official exchange rate128.4415 per US$2025

What is missing, and why

currencySource does not cover this market

The dataset simply does not include this territory. Absent, not zero.

The European Central Bank publishes no euro reference rate for this currency, so there is no twelve-month entry window to state. That is a fact about the series, not about the market.

supplySource does not cover this market

The dataset simply does not include this territory. Absent, not zero.

No statistics agency for this market has been read and cleared for republication.

What supports this, what would make it wrong, and how it could go

Record

Why this market is on the listAdded the day the OECD licence was cleared. Two layers already covered it from confirmed sources — the BIS policy rate for the cost of money and the OECD house-price ratios for valuation against its own history — and neither needed a fetch, a connector, or a line of code; the second had been archived and withheld since the first snapshot. The euro reference rate does not carry this currency, so there is no entry-window figure here, and no rule for a foreign buyer has been read from an authority.
DossierNone written. Layers and rules only, which is why this market reads as “Measured” rather than reviewed.
Next review2026-11-15
Evidence snapshot2026-08-16