Poland · POL · snapshot 2026-08-16
Poland
Measured
Currency movement
+1.5%
The local currency bought fewer euros at the end of this window than at the start — a cheaper entry for a euro-denominated buyer, and a worse exit for anyone already holding the asset.
What it does not show. It is not a forecast and not a property return. A currency move and a price move are different facts and routinely point opposite ways; nothing here says which way either is going next.
Foreign-buyer rules
Not measured
No rule for this market has been read from an authority and cited yet. Absence here means nobody has checked, not that the market is open.
Cost of money
3.75%
The price of money to banks in this jurisdiction, which sets the floor everything else is priced from.
What it does not show. It is emphatically not a mortgage quote. What a non-resident is offered is a different number, usually much higher, and the gap between them is where a market's financing story actually lives.
Supply against absorption
Not measured
No statistics agency for this market has been read and cleared for republication. Two have been anywhere: Canada and Singapore. The data very likely exists; the permission to publish it has not been established.
Residential price cycle
145.1 against a 2015 base of 100
House prices have risen faster than consumer prices since 2015 — the market is above its own inflation-adjusted level of that year.
What it does not show. It is a position, not a direction, and it is not a valuation. Deflating by consumer prices says nothing about what the asset yields or what credit costs, and a market can sit above its 2015 level for years without that meaning anything is due.
Valuation against its own history
Not measured
The OECD house-price dataset does not carry this territory, so there is no ratio to state. The dataset covers its members and a set of partner economies, and most of the world is in neither.
On the market now
Not measured
No listings platform has been read for this market. The one platform this site can read covers Russian cities only, and inventing a count for anywhere else would be worse than an empty row.
No dossier has been written for this market yet. What follows is the measured layers and the rules, each with its source — not an argument about whether to be here. A market reaches this page as soon as two layers can be cited, because an unwritten thesis is a reason to publish less, not a reason to publish nothing.
The series behind those figures, and the workings
Currency
+1.5%
Twelve-month move in PLN per euro, 4.2541 in 2025-07 to 4.3179 in 2026-07. Positive means the local currency weakened. Source: European Central Bank monthly reference averages.
4.3068
Latest daily fixing, PLN per euro on 2026-08-14. Shown because it is what a reader would see if they went and looked; the window above uses monthly averages, which one volatile day cannot move.
Against other base currencies
A market is cheap or dear relative to the capital entering it, so the same twelve months read differently depending on what the buyer holds. Both legs are quoted per euro, so the euro cancels and no third source is involved.
| Buyer holds | PLN per unit, 2025-07 | PLN per unit, 2026-07 | Twelve-month move |
|---|---|---|---|
| US dollar (USD) | 3.6432 | 3.7819 | +3.8% |
| Pound sterling (GBP) | 4.9199 | 5.0566 | +2.8% |
| Swiss franc (CHF) | 4.5622 | 4.6652 | +2.3% |
| Singapore dollar (SGD) | 2.8437 | 2.9282 | +3.0% |
| Australian dollar (AUD) | 2.3817 | 2.6336 | +10.6% |
Cost of money
3.75%
Central bank policy rate, 2026-07. Source: Bank for International Settlements.
This is the price of money to banks, not the price of money to a non-resident buying a building. The gap between those two is where a market’s financing story actually lives, and it is not in this number. A mortgage quote for a foreign buyer depends on the lender, the asset and the borrower, and no public dataset carries it.
BIS terms permit this figure on a free page and state that nothing in their statistics constitutes investment advice. They also allow inclusion in a commercial product only where it adds no charge, so this series is published here and is not priced into any paid work.
Background
Annual national statistics from the World Bank, under a licence that permits reuse with attribution. They describe the country; they do not time an entry, and they are not counted as measurements of this market — otherwise every territory on earth would claim to be measured on the strength of one dataset.
| Indicator | Value | Year |
|---|---|---|
| GDP per capita | 28,420 US$ | 2025 |
| Consumer price inflation | 3.8 % | 2025 |
| Population | 36,435,861 | 2025 |
| Urban population | 60.1 % of total | 2025 |
| Official exchange rate | 3.7605 per US$ | 2025 |
What is missing, and why
supply — Source does not cover this market
The dataset simply does not include this territory. Absent, not zero.
No statistics agency for this market has been read and cleared for republication. Two have been anywhere: Canada and Singapore. The data very likely exists; the permission to publish it has not been established.
What supports this, what would make it wrong, and how it could go
Record
| Why this market is on the list | Added because two layers already covered it from sources whose licences are confirmed — the ECB reference rate for the currency and the BIS policy rate for the cost of money — and neither needed a new grant, a new connector, or a new fetch. Nothing about this market has been researched beyond those two readings: no rule for a foreign buyer here has been read from an authority, so the friction row says so rather than showing an empty table. It is on the screen because it is measured, not because it was chosen. |
|---|---|
| Dossier | None written. Layers and rules only, which is why this market reads as “Measured” rather than reviewed. |
| Next review | 2026-11-15 |
| Evidence snapshot | 2026-08-16 |